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TWENTY FIRST CENTURY, Prospects and Priorities
Fortunately, the earth is bountiful and the solar system secure, at least for a few more millennia. There is plenty for everyone, if only modest human wisdom and resources are applied to the problem. The good life need not degrade the human or natural ecology. However, the ripoff we see everywhere around us in all contemporary cultures leads inexorably to human and ecological disaster. This disaster is well on its way: ugly pollution of air, sea, and land; spreading agonies of dying cultures for both poor and rich, each in its own style of despair; imminent disaster threatening all life on earth, the bang of military holocaust or the whimper of ecological destruction. Neither Venus nor Mars offer refuge; they are only images of what earth may become: uncomplex environments, totally opposite of everything lush and valuable on Earth. Such Armageddon is negative value not only for humans, but objectively it is a negative value in itself. Therefore the first task is to make sure every human being, and necessarily every creature, moves toward a secure and bountiful life. This basic task is crucial for survival. It also gives everyone something nice to do, which is what the good life is made of - nice things to do. Let each person, each culture, each human entity look to this task in their own way, the reconstruction of organic cultural life, ROCL. Just as physical nature evolved the planets and the stars, just as biological nature evolved the flowers and beasts, so let humans participate in the increasing complexity of their culture. The advance of complexity is, objectively, the basic value in reality. A basic task for the twenty-first century is to see the most destructive ongoing processes and correct them as soon as possible:
Notice how the mind seems compelled to give reasons, to rationalize why and how things are the way they are, like the victim of post-hypnotic suggestion who readily gives perfectly plausible reasons for the most bizarre behavior. So it is with present thinking - as if human reason were the last to change. Rescuing the social and natural ecology is the task of the twenty-first century, (p.305) and no amount of rationalization can prevent it. It is the imperative of reality - the evolution of culture. The current medieval rationalism may postpone it, or even mess it up a bit, but systemic thinking is an idea whose time has come. WORLD SYMBIOSISThe wealthiest must be convinced to stop doing bad things. For example, the Saudis and others must be convinced to stop taking oil from God's earth. Most of it is not needed. Life is rich in itself, and the earth is bountiful. It's an easy task. There are plenty of able people, on and off Madison Avenue, who can get anybody to do anything. Similarly, the Chinese must be induced to stop mining coal, much of which they waste heating poorly designed buildings. People such as *Ovshinsky can manufacture solar cells about as fast as fossil fuel electric plants can be disassembled; and the LUZ solar thermal plant in California has undersold nuclear electricity. Chinese trains can run on electricity, like so much of the Trans-Siberian railroad does now. True, the Chinese want a hundred million refrigerators in the next few decades, but solar solid state refrigerators (no CFCs) can be built for under a hundred dollars each. (That's less than the Stealth Bomber program, and easier to do. We could deliver them from our factories in Mexico with the obsolete bombers.) The Russians can make it through the winter with very little energy, in elegant passive solar homes, already well developed even in Idaho and New Hampshire, believe it or not. The Americans can be quickly seduced into other activities besides driving their cars, etc., as soon as the new ecovillages are underway. Our Scandinavian sisters have already started cohousing. Old houses, like old cars, are a cultural and ecological disaster and can be quickly replaced by the newer more elegant hybrid electric cars and passive solar homes. Bypassing the present bureaucracy, the better cars and communities would cost about one tenth as much as they do now, should anyone think money is a serious problem, which it is not. High rises (p.218) are a more difficult problem, especially since the animal rights people oppose their conversion to giant cow barns. They were built as monuments, and will always be monuments long after people no longer flock to them. They exist only by a lobbied glitch in the tax code, which will soon wither away. The Brazilians and the Indonesians must immediately stop slashing the rain forests. Present puppet governments give lip service to ecology, but the destruction increases. Under pressures from the First World they tolerate, even subsidize this disaster. Forest preservation and use can produce ten times the economic value which seems to result from their conversion to Big Mac range and plantation. A Brazilian Grossinger's resort could be another possible conversion. People ask why, if it's so easy, aren't folks getting right to it. People usually enjoy a nice new project, but they just haven't got to it yet. They soon will, surely.
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